Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001601 0.001702 0.001806 0.001922 0.002047 0.002178 0.002326
2025-02-09 0.001473 0.001617 0.001773 0.001954 0.002158 0.002382 0.002647
2025-02-16 0.001416 0.001596 0.001795 0.002033 0.002312 0.002630 0.003022
2025-02-23 0.001330 0.001529 0.001755 0.002032 0.002367 0.002760 0.003260
2025-03-02 0.001229 0.001435 0.001674 0.001974 0.002344 0.002790 0.003373
2025-03-09 0.001153 0.001365 0.001615 0.001935 0.002339 0.002836 0.003503
2025-03-16 0.001103 0.001323 0.001587 0.001931 0.002374 0.002930 0.003695
2025-03-23 0.001051 0.001275 0.001548 0.001909 0.002381 0.002988 0.003839
2025-03-30 0.001009 0.001237 0.001519 0.001898 0.002402 0.003060 0.004006
2025-04-06 0.000964 0.001194 0.001481 0.001872 0.002399 0.003101 0.004128
2025-04-13 0.000920 0.001149 0.001439 0.001838 0.002385 0.003123 0.004223
2025-04-20 0.000866 0.001088 0.001373 0.001769 0.002318 0.003069 0.004206
2025-04-27 0.000854 0.001087 0.001388 0.001815 0.002418 0.003262 0.004572
2025-05-04 0.000837 0.001076 0.001391 0.001845 0.002498 0.003431 0.004916
2025-05-11 0.000836 0.001088 0.001425 0.001919 0.002644 0.003704 0.005441
2025-05-18 0.000810 0.001064 0.001407 0.001918 0.002680 0.003816 0.005718
2025-05-25 0.000768 0.001016 0.001355 0.001863 0.002633 0.003797 0.005781
2025-06-01 0.000735 0.000979 0.001316 0.001828 0.002611 0.003815 0.005905
2025-06-08 0.000714 0.000959 0.001300 0.001824 0.002639 0.003910 0.006165
2025-06-15 0.000689 0.000932 0.001273 0.001803 0.002637 0.003959 0.006347
2025-06-22 0.000669 0.000911 0.001254 0.001792 0.002651 0.004034 0.006578
2025-06-29 0.000646 0.000885 0.001226 0.001768 0.002642 0.004067 0.006737
2025-07-06 0.000622 0.000857 0.001195 0.001737 0.002619 0.004077 0.006853